The Dunhill Links is a challenging puzzle to fix given the players and varying weather ascertaining how scoreable every course is about the day play with 3 distinct courses on days. You want an ounce of chance to land a winner though there’s always an opportunity on the marketplace and with loads of connections shape lines could muster some reasonable bets. We all know the drill by now 20 handicappers, 6 hour rounds. This requires a deal of patience and good attitude. In fact we have found it gain that the likes of Hatton with a hot temper. The conditions can mean that players like Hatton can relax and revel in.
McIlroy has three runner up endings here and goes well playing his dad. There is an argument he should not be larger than his price a week in a area and with less problem to cope with. Regardless his end in 2017 reveals us that it can go either way and with lots able to shoot in the high adolescents under par here he’s maybe best swerved.
Whilst many previous winners have played at this event before it’s important to note many have not. Bjerregaard had 3 missed cuts prior to his victory Hatton missed two before he moved on his winning run. A previous missed cut is no massive negative as there might be some amount of reasons as to why it didn’t workout.
Of the marketplace leaders Tommy Fleetwood looks equipped awarded his experience in his connections along with this event form the last few years was as great. Two runner up two top 5s along with finishes this is only bettered by Hatton’s heroics in the last few years. It is a huge positive he hasn’t missed a cut in 8 appearances. He has gone at the previous two Open Championships also and seems to be the most tempting price at the top of the industry almost 3 times the price of Rory on the exchanges. The price is simply ok and not a whole lot of worth but I can’t see him from the framework given his pedigree at those places and he can get an victory.
2pts each-way T.Fleetwood 18/1 (1/5 8 places)
Because is not sufficient to put me away the 100/1 on this 32,, the Korn Ferry Tour Finals were won by tom Lewis a couple weeks ago in spectacular style and two cuts. He narrowly missed all these cuts in the Greenbrier and final week at Wentworth and could be expected of a show that was better these days in Scotland. Lewis of course burst on the scene several years back playing with a first round at the Open playing. Since then he’s had a few ups and downs but the previous 2 years are a massive success with him getting his pga tour card and winning in Portugal. The Dunhill Links provides a good opportunity for him to land another name although he will have a single eye on that season coming. He has just two top tens and has been in good rankings particularly in 2013 when he finished 1 taken off the pace in Carnoustie despite a 73 on Saturday. Looks to be one overpriced.
1pt each-way T.Lewis 100/1 (1/5 6 places)
A complete pile hasn’t been done by robert MacIntyre wrong in conquer and seems sure to get over the lineup rather than later. Within the best 100 his top 30 finish at Wentworth has been a solid effort given it was his first appearance there and it backed his previous runner up finish at the Porsche. That was his next bridesmaid tag of this year and the chilly Scottish links this week presented should suit him. GB&Ire won a chunk of these events since 2000 and it is definitely my ploy this week to get a couple from such isles on my slips in form lads. Bobby seems to have a attitude and he’ll be working off his spikes to land his first success whilst many will drown in the format.
1pt each-way R.MacIntyre 50/1 (1/5 7 locations )
Haotong Li finished like a train to finish 3rd in the 2017 Open Championship and having a top 5 last year on debut can be expected to put his best foot forward this weekend. A top 20 in Lahinch before in this year was just another fine hyperlinks performance. He’s an extremely talented type who could still elevate himself onto another level using profile wins. What’s intriguing about past years performance was that he took 75 daily one on this 3, Kingabarns’ links. If he continue his links form that is decent then and could get to grips with that track he ought to be in with a shout.
1pt each-way H.Li 50/1 (1/5 8 locations )
Paul Waring won the Nordea Experts last year amidst a few windy and cold conditions and is an outsider worth getting in our staking plan this past week. He’s having not been out of the top 30 in his last four occasions and on an impressive run using 7 made cuts on the twist. Tied 21st in Wentworth last week was a strong knock considering the strength of the field. The yield to hyperlinks should match given he’s this season in Lahinch and lately two tens submitted on Irish Portush’s links. In addition, he includes a top 20 submitted in Birkdale in an Open trunk in 2008. He seems a big number and slips under the radar here.
0.75pt each-way P.Waring 175/1 (1/5 7 places)
I’ll have a small bet on Justin Harding. The Southern African sits 57th in the world rankings getting off in the season in Qatar. Qatar winners have been prolific on links tracks and three players (Lawrie, Karlsson and Grace) have won both occasions. He also missed the cut at Wentworth but is worth the danger here this week. 12th in the Experts, and 10th in the Byron Nelson before in this year is an illustration of just how great Harding can be. Whether he bounced back this week and it would be no surprise to me he has had a excellent year.
0.5pt each-way J.Harding 200/1 (1/5 7 places)
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