In the wise words of Sir Mix-a-Lot, uh double-up uh-uh. We’ve got Wednesday night’s game (10:07 p.m. ET, ESPN) between the New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics on faucet, following up on our award-atomizing trailer of Tuesday’s competition. That game was not too difficult to handle; we faded the Yankees because pitcher Domingo German is overvalued from the market. Seems like we weren’t alone. On Tuesday’s MLB likelihood board, the A’s have moved in +140 to as much as +110 at press time.
Wednesday’s game is going to be a little tougher. J.A. Happ (5.55 FIP) is beginning for the Yankees, while Mike Fiers (4.77 FIP) reacts for Oakland. It’s a benefit for the A’s, but not sufficient for us to place the home side as –110 favorites. Maybe that 9.5-run total will be to our liking.
Maybe. Our adorable panel of quants could have other thoughts
Allergic Odds (with SBR Odds Converter): –104
Jeff Sagarin’s Generic Total (approx) ) : 9.25-9.5 runs
There is room on the moneyline to choose on either side in this struggle Because you can see. The total is tight, too. There might be a tiny opening to recommend that the”below” for a small amount, but we’re likely to call an audible and provide the”over” a chance rather, dependent on a few variables — such as the weather. Wednesday forecast calls for mostly clear skies and temperatures at the mid-70s, which should help boost the run total in what is a pitcher’s park.
Free MLB Select: Over 9.5 (–104) at Pinnacle